Shonan Bellmare 1-0 Shimizu S-Pulse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 30 Nov 2025

Shonan Bellmare
1-0 HT 1-0
Shimizu S-Pulse
📅30/11/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Japan - J1 League – 2025

Shonan Bellmare vs Shimizu S-Pulse Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.57
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
42%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.1
Over 2.5
59%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.56
No
41%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.98
2-3 Goals
38%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
3.04
6+ Goals
14%
9.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.06
1/2
7%
24.85
1/X
5%
12.7
X/1
10%
6.37
X/2
12%
5.65
X/X
10%
5.16
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
27.5
2/2
23%
3.37
2/X
8%
12.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 27.5 — our 8% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
35%
+0.6pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.0pp
42%
Away Win
39%
+3.4pp
41%
Under 2.5
44%
-2.9pp
59%
Over 2.5
56%
+2.9pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-0.8pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Shonan Bellmare v Shimizu S-Pulse — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shonan Bellmare EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse EU Bookmakers 43%
-10% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.26/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.42
-11% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -17%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
333 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 79%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
19.4 Crosses 18.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 0.8

Shonan Bellmare vs Shimizu S-Pulse Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shonan Bellmare
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.19 xG 1.62
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
435 Passes 242
81% Pass Accuracy 72%
29 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.07.2025 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 0-1 HT 0-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JPK
29.03.2025 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 3-0 HT 2-0 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
24.05.2023 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 3-2 HT 2-0 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JLK
05.04.2023 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 3-0 HT 2-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JLK
10.09.2022 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 1-1 HT 1-0 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
03.05.2022 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 1-4 HT 0-3 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP

Shonan Bellmare 1-0 Shimizu S-Pulse — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shonan Bellmare
1-0
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse
0.52 xG 0.70
37% Ball Possession 63%
6 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
269 Passes 523
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 28
19 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Shonan Bellmare vs Shimizu S-Pulse
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shonan Bellmare nicked a narrow win over Shimizu S-Pulse 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Shimizu S-Pulse at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Shonan Bellmare had 37% of the ball to Shimizu S-Pulse's 63%, shots finished 6-16, expected goals 0.52 to 0.70.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shimizu S-Pulse led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Shonan Bellmare and 2.00 for Shimizu S-Pulse.

What was the final score of Shonan Bellmare vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

Shonan Bellmare 1-0 Shimizu S-Pulse in the Japan - J1 League on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shonan Bellmare vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shimizu S-Pulse win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Shonan Bellmare 36%, draw 22%, Shimizu S-Pulse 42%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Shimizu S-Pulse) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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