Tokyo Verdy 0-1 Kashima Antlers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 30 Nov 2025

📅30/11/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.48
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
52%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.59
Over 2.5
45%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.13
No
50%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.42
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.76
6+ Goals
9%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
8.56
1/2
9%
29.0
1/X
9%
17.8
X/1
9%
9.47
X/2
16%
4.0
X/X
9%
4.24
2/1
4%
35.0
2/2
27%
2.33
2/X
4%
15.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
19%
+6.1pp
22%
Draw
27%
-4.4pp
52%
Away Win
54%
-1.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
43%
+7.6pp
50%
BTTS No
57%
-7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tokyo Verdy EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Kashima Antlers EU Bookmakers 57%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -14%
1.10/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.21
-55% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -23%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
304 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 80%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.4
14.7 Crosses 21.1
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tokyo Verdy
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Kashima Antlers
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.45 xG 1.94
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
262 Passes 301
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
22.02.2025 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 4-0 HT 3-0 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy JAP
25.08.2024 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 2-1 HT 0-0 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
12.05.2024 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 3-3 HT 2-0 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tokyo Verdy
0-1
AWAY Kashima Antlers
0.82 xG 1.46
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
399 Passes 310
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
27 Box Touches 14
23 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tokyo Verdy vs Kashima Antlers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kashima Antlers squeezed past Tokyo Verdy 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kashima Antlers as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Tokyo Verdy had 55% of the ball to Kashima Antlers's 45%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 0.82 to 1.46.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Tokyo Verdy and 2.67 for Kashima Antlers.

What was the final score of Tokyo Verdy vs Kashima Antlers?

Tokyo Verdy 0-1 Kashima Antlers in the Japan - J1 League on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tokyo Verdy vs Kashima Antlers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kashima Antlers win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Tokyo Verdy 25%, draw 22%, Kashima Antlers 52%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kashima Antlers), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kashima Antlers) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP More Japan - J1 League
30 Nov 2025
08:00 Yokohama FC vs Kyoto Sanga Analysis →
08:00 Shonan Bellmare vs Shimizu S-Pulse Analysis →
08:00 Vissel Kobe vs FC Tokyo Analysis →
08:00 Kawasaki Frontale vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima Analysis →
08:00 Avispa Fukuoka vs Gamba Osaka Analysis →
08:00 Fagiano Okayama vs Urawa Red Diamonds Analysis →