Kashima Antlers 4-0 Tokyo Verdy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.38
Draw
32%
2.77
Away
27%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
1.44
Over 2.5
29%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.19
No
64%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
45%
1.99
2-3 Goals
34%
1.8
4-5 Goals
15%
6.11
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.76
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.2
X/1
17%
5.01
X/2
15%
6.03
X/X
18%
3.27
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
6%
4.98
2/X
6%
14.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
38%
+2.9pp
32%
Draw
32%
-0.1pp
27%
Away Win
30%
-2.9pp
71%
Under 2.5
66%
+4.8pp
29%
Over 2.5
34%
-4.8pp
36%
BTTS Yes
42%
-5.5pp
64%
BTTS No
58%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kashima Antlers EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Tokyo Verdy EU Bookmakers 33%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.25/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.04
+7% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +22%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
221 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 75%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
19.4 Crosses 15.2
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kashima Antlers
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Tokyo Verdy
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.77 xG 1.96
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 4
293 Passes 226
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.08.2024 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 2-1 HT 0-0 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
12.05.2024 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 3-3 HT 2-0 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kashima Antlers
4-0
AWAY Tokyo Verdy
2.29 xG 0.43
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
317 Passes 335
72% Pass Accuracy 73%
29 Box Touches 12
16 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kashima Antlers vs Tokyo Verdy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kashima Antlers cruised past Tokyo Verdy 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kashima Antlers as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (64%) landed while under 2.5 goals (71%) missed.

On the day, Kashima Antlers had 50% of the ball to Tokyo Verdy's 50%, shots finished 15-5, expected goals 2.29 to 0.43.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Tokyo Verdy led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Kashima Antlers and 2.50 for Tokyo Verdy.

What was the final score of Kashima Antlers vs Tokyo Verdy?

Kashima Antlers 4-0 Tokyo Verdy in the Japan - J1 League on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kashima Antlers vs Tokyo Verdy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kashima Antlers win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Kashima Antlers 41%, draw 32%, Tokyo Verdy 27%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kashima Antlers), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kashima Antlers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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