31/01/2024
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
0-0
Acireale vs Siracusa Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
Over
41%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2-3
39%
4-5
20%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
12%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
20%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 59% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
30%
Home Win
42%
38%
Draw
30%
32%
Away Win
28%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Acireale v Siracusa — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Acireale
The Market 46%
Head to Head
AWAY
Siracusa
The Market 32%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
51%
Ball Possession
49%
11
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
4
290 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
356 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Acireale vs Siracusa Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Acireale
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Siracusa
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
3.00
49%
Ball Possession
51%
18
Total Shots
17
12
Shots on Target
8
2
Corners
3
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Acireale vs Siracusa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Siracusa nicked a narrow win over Acireale 2-1 away from home.
Our pre-match split (30% / 38% / 32%) promised a tight game; Siracusa found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Acireale vs Siracusa?
Acireale 1-2 Siracusa in the Italy - Serie D on 31/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Acireale vs Siracusa?
Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Acireale 30%, draw 38%, Siracusa 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.
✗ Match Result (Draw)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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31 Jan 2024