31/01/2024
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
0-0
Gozzano vs Pinerolo Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
Over
41%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1
36%
2-3
43%
4-5
16%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 59% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
34%
Home Win
26%
31%
Draw
27%
35%
Away Win
47%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Gozzano v Pinerolo — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Gozzano
The Market 29%
Head to Head
AWAY
Pinerolo
The Market 51%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-64% /
-64%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-100%
/
+28%
44%
Ball Possession
56%
10
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
5
311 · 76%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
412 · 82%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Gozzano vs Pinerolo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Gozzano and Pinerolo couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2.
We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 31% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Gozzano vs Pinerolo?
Gozzano 2-2 Pinerolo in the Italy - Serie D on 31/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Gozzano vs Pinerolo?
Before kick-off our model rated an Pinerolo win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Gozzano 34%, draw 31%, Pinerolo 35%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.
✗ Match Result (Pinerolo)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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31 Jan 2024