31/01/2024
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-1
2nd Score
1-0
FC Vado vs Città di Varese Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
56%
Over
44%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
No Pick
61%
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
36%
4-5
24%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 61% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH
Home Win
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
45%
Home Win
85%
22%
Draw
10%
34%
Away Win
5%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
FC Vado v Città di Varese — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
FC Vado
The Market 90%
Head to Head
AWAY
Città di Varese
The Market 8%
-99% /
-99%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-9% /
-9%
0.00/1.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.00/2.00
-100%
/
+20%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-100%
/
-34%
57%
Ball Possession
43%
14
Total Shots
9
6
Shots on Target
3
7
Corners
4
495 · 84%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
256 · 75%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
FC Vado vs Città di Varese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
FC Vado edged past Città di Varese 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had FC Vado as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.
What was the final score of FC Vado vs Città di Varese?
FC Vado 1-0 Città di Varese in the Italy - Serie D on 31/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FC Vado vs Città di Varese?
Before kick-off our model rated a FC Vado win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split FC Vado 45%, draw 22%, Città di Varese 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Vado), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (FC Vado)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
İTD
More Italy - Serie D
31 Jan 2024