Caravaggio vs Pontisola Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Caravaggio v Pontisola — Team-Based Signals
Caravaggio 1-0 Pontisola — Actual Match Statistics
Caravaggio edged past Pontisola 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Caravaggio as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.
On the day, Caravaggio had 58% of the ball to Pontisola's 42%, shots finished 16-9.
What was the final score of Caravaggio vs Pontisola?
Caravaggio 1-0 Pontisola in the Italy - Serie D on 31/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Caravaggio vs Pontisola?
Before kick-off our model rated a Caravaggio win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Caravaggio 55%, draw 27%, Pontisola 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Caravaggio), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.