Virtus Ciserano Bergamo 2-2 Varesina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie D, 31 Jan 2024

📅31/01/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
3.69
Draw
20%
3.18
Away
41%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
Over
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No Pick
53%
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2-3
41%
4-5
17%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
17%
X/X
7%
2/1
11%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
39%
Home Win
24%
+15.3pp
20%
Draw
28%
-7.6pp
41%
Away Win
48%
-7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Virtus Ciserano Bergamo The Market 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Varesina The Market 52%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
339 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Virtus Ciserano Bergamo vs Varesina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Virtus Ciserano Bergamo and Varesina couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2.

Our pre-match split (39% / 20% / 41%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

What was the final score of Virtus Ciserano Bergamo vs Varesina?

Virtus Ciserano Bergamo 2-2 Varesina in the Italy - Serie D on 31/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Virtus Ciserano Bergamo vs Varesina?

Before kick-off our model rated an Varesina win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Virtus Ciserano Bergamo 39%, draw 20%, Varesina 41%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Varesina) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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