Kapaz 3-2 Sabah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 31 Jan 2025

Kapaz
3-2 HT 1-2
Sabah
📅31/01/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.04
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
52%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.82
Over 2.5
56%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
20%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
21%
+0.5pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.7pp
52%
Away Win
54%
-2.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
51%
-6.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
49%
+6.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.9pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kapaz EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Sabah EU Bookmakers 58%
+7% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -30%
1.54/1.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.30
+61% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -42%
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
258 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kapaz
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Sabah
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
09.11.2024 Sabah Sabah 2-2 HT 1-1 Kapaz Kapaz AZERS
31.08.2024 Kapaz Kapaz 2-3 HT 2-0 Sabah Sabah AZERS
21.04.2024 Kapaz Kapaz 1-2 HT 0-2 Sabah Sabah AZERS
17.02.2024 Sabah Sabah 3-2 HT 1-1 Kapaz Kapaz AZERS
18.12.2023 Kapaz Kapaz 3-4 HT 2-3 Sabah Sabah AZERK
03.12.2023 Kapaz Kapaz 0-2 HT 0-2 Sabah Sabah AZERS
POST-MATCH Kapaz vs Sabah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kapaz edged past Sabah 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Sabah at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sabah led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Kapaz and 2.67 for Sabah.

What was the final score of Kapaz vs Sabah?

Kapaz 3-2 Sabah in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 31/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kapaz vs Sabah?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sabah win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Kapaz 22%, draw 26%, Sabah 52%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sabah) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sabah) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
31 Jan 2025
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