Lancaster City vs Ashton United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lancaster City v Ashton United — Team-Based Signals
Lancaster City vs Ashton United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
Ashton United
İNGNLP
0-2
HT 0-0
Ashton United
FAK
Lancaster City 3-2 Ashton United — Actual Match Statistics
Lancaster City nicked a narrow win over Ashton United 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lancaster City as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Lancaster City had 53% of the ball to Ashton United's 47%, shots finished 13-5.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ashton United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Lancaster City and 2.17 for Ashton United.
What was the final score of Lancaster City vs Ashton United?
Lancaster City 3-2 Ashton United in the England - Non League Premier on 31/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lancaster City vs Ashton United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lancaster City win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Lancaster City 42%, draw 26%, Ashton United 32%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lancaster City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.