Napoli 2-1 Fiorentina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 31 Jan 2026

Napoli
2 - 1 HT 1 - 0
Fiorentina
📅31/01/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2025/2026

Napoli vs Fiorentina Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.89
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
20%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.67
Over
45%
2.02
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2.71
2-3
48%
1.76
4-5
19%
4.15
6+
4%
20.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.61
1/2
1%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.45
X/1
18%
4.51
X/2
9%
8.41
X/X
19%
4.19
2/1
3%
28.0
2/2
10%
6.9
2/X
5%
14.8
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Napoli v Fiorentina — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Napoli The Market 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Fiorentina The Market 26%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Weak
1.72 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.00
1.12 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.48
Average Attack Strength Average
Weak Defense Strength Average
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
414 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 77%
24 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3

Napoli vs Fiorentina Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Napoli
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Fiorentina
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.99 xG 1.28
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
349 Passes 400
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 23
13 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.09.2025 Fiorentina Fiorentina 1-3 HT 0-2 Napoli Napoli İTA
09.03.2025 Napoli Napoli 2-1 HT 1-0 Fiorentina Fiorentina İTA
04.01.2025 Fiorentina Fiorentina 0-3 HT 0-1 Napoli Napoli İTA
17.05.2024 Fiorentina Fiorentina 2-2 HT 2-1 Napoli Napoli İTA
18.01.2024 Napoli Napoli 3-0 HT 1-0 Fiorentina Fiorentina İTSK
08.10.2023 Napoli Napoli 1-3 HT 1-1 Fiorentina Fiorentina İTA

Napoli 2-1 Fiorentina — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Napoli
2 - 1
AWAY Fiorentina
1.73 xG 1.23
53% Ball Possession 47%
19 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
423 Passes 358
88% Pass Accuracy 85%
34 Box Touches 18
10 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Napoli vs Fiorentina
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Napoli nicked a narrow win over Fiorentina 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Napoli as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, possession split 53% to 47% in Napoli's favour, shots finished 19-15, expected goals 1.73 to 1.23.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Napoli had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.33 a game for Napoli against 1.17 for Fiorentina.

Napoli vs Fiorentina Result & Final Score

Napoli 2 - 1 Fiorentina in the Italy - Serie A on 31/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Napoli vs Fiorentina Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Napoli win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Napoli 50%, draw 30%, Fiorentina 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Napoli), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Napoli) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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