Lorient 2-1 Nantes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 31 Jan 2026

📅31/01/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.86
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
23%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.74
Over 2.5
40%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.84
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
3.98
6+ Goals
8%
18.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.84 — our 34% vs market 28.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.58
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
6%
14.05
X/1
16%
4.41
X/2
9%
8.15
X/X
17%
4.49
2/1
7%
26.0
2/2
9%
6.64
2/X
7%
15.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
50%
-2.6pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.5pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-0.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
54%
+5.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
46%
-5.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.3pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lorient EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Nantes EU Bookmakers 27%
+2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +11%
1.74/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.33
+9% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
395 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 80%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
16.0 Crosses 17.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lorient
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Nantes
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.93 xG 1.11
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
459 Passes 374
86% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
23.11.2025 Nantes Nantes 1-1 HT 0-1 Lorient Lorient FR1
07.08.2024 Nantes Nantes 1-1 HT 1-0 Lorient Lorient HAZ
24.02.2024 Lorient Lorient 0-1 HT 0-0 Nantes Nantes FR1
23.09.2023 Nantes Nantes 5-3 HT 1-1 Lorient Lorient FR1
02.08.2023 Lorient Lorient 3-1 HT 1-0 Nantes Nantes HAZ
12.02.2023 Nantes Nantes 1-0 HT 0-0 Lorient Lorient FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lorient
2-1
AWAY Nantes
57% Ball Possession 43%
5 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 4
496 Passes 352
87% Pass Accuracy 84%
POST-MATCH Lorient vs Nantes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lorient nicked a narrow win over Nantes 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lorient as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lorient had 57% of the ball to Nantes's 43%, shots finished 5-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nantes led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Lorient and 1.67 for Nantes.

What was the final score of Lorient vs Nantes?

Lorient 2-1 Nantes in the France - Ligue 1 on 31/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lorient vs Nantes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lorient win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Lorient 47%, draw 30%, Nantes 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lorient) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lorient) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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