Nantes vs Lorient Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nantes v Lorient — Team-Based Signals
Nantes vs Lorient Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
5-3
HT 1-1
Lorient
FR1
3-1
HT 1-0
Nantes
HAZ
1-0
HT 0-0
Lorient
FR1
3-2
HT 1-1
Nantes
FR1
Nantes 1-1 Lorient — Actual Match Statistics
Nantes and Lorient couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 30% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.
On the day, Nantes had 56% of the ball to Lorient's 44%, shots finished 9-7, expected goals 0.84 to 0.32.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nantes had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Nantes and 1.67 for Lorient.
What was the final score of Nantes vs Lorient?
Nantes 1-1 Lorient in the France - Ligue 1 on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nantes vs Lorient?
Before kick-off our model rated an Lorient win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Nantes 32%, draw 30%, Lorient 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lorient) went the other way.