Auxerre 0-0 Lyon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 23 Nov 2025

Auxerre
0-0 HT 0-0
Lyon
📅23/11/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✓
France - Ligue 1 – 2025/2026

Auxerre vs Lyon Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.46
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
43%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.78
Over 2.5
39%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.82
No
56%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
35%
2.98
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
3.79
6+ Goals
8%
16.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.98 — our 35% vs market 27.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
6.04
1/2
9%
26.0
1/X
4%
14.5
X/1
10%
7.75
X/2
15%
4.63
X/X
17%
4.52
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
19%
2.72
2/X
9%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
26%
+1.7pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.0pp
43%
Away Win
47%
-4.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
52%
+8.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
48%
-8.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.4pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Auxerre v Lyon — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Auxerre EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Lyon EU Bookmakers 51%
+12% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +6%
1.58/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/1.27
+18% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +3%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
270 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 420 · 83%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.1
18.1 Crosses 16.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0

Auxerre vs Lyon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Auxerre
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Lyon
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.12 xG 2.13
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
265 Passes 490
79% Pass Accuracy 86%
18 Box Touches 32
17 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
13.04.2025 Auxerre Auxerre 1-3 HT 0-0 Lyon Lyon FR1
27.10.2024 Lyon Lyon 2-2 HT 1-0 Auxerre Auxerre FR1
17.02.2023 Auxerre Auxerre 2-1 HT 0-1 Lyon Lyon FR1
31.08.2022 Lyon Lyon 2-1 HT 1-0 Auxerre Auxerre FR1
07.04.2012 Lyon Lyon 2-1 HT 1-1 Auxerre Auxerre FR1
27.11.2011 Auxerre Auxerre 0-3 HT 0-1 Lyon Lyon FR1

Auxerre 0-0 Lyon — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Auxerre
0-0
AWAY Lyon
2.07 xG 1.57
30% Ball Possession 70%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 11
175 Passes 475
74% Pass Accuracy 87%
17 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 32
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Auxerre vs Lyon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Auxerre and Lyon played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Lyon at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Auxerre had 30% of the ball to Lyon's 70%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 2.07 to 1.57.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lyon led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Auxerre and 2.17 for Lyon.

What was the final score of Auxerre vs Lyon?

Auxerre 0-0 Lyon in the France - Ligue 1 on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Auxerre vs Lyon?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lyon win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Auxerre 27%, draw 30%, Lyon 43%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Lyon) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lyon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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