Toulouse 0-1 Angers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 23 Nov 2025

Toulouse
0-1 HT 0-1
Angers
📅23/11/2025 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2025/2026

Toulouse vs Angers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.66
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
20%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.71
Over 2.5
49%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.77
2-3 Goals
37%
1.76
4-5 Goals
25%
4.07
6+ Goals
9%
19.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.21
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
5%
15.45
X/1
17%
4.06
X/2
6%
9.99
X/X
15%
4.68
2/1
8%
26.0
2/2
7%
8.69
2/X
6%
17.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
56%
-1.9pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.1pp
20%
Away Win
19%
+0.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
55%
-3.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
45%
+3.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.6pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Toulouse v Angers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Toulouse EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Angers EU Bookmakers 22%
-6% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +10%
1.64/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.60
-2% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +4%
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
421 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 76%
32.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
20.9 Crosses 15.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8

Toulouse vs Angers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Toulouse
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Angers
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.93 xG 1.30
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
422 Passes 280
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.03.2025 Angers Angers 0-4 HT 0-0 Toulouse Toulouse FR1
20.10.2024 Toulouse Toulouse 1-1 HT 0-1 Angers Angers FR1
12.03.2023 Angers Angers 0-2 HT 0-1 Toulouse Toulouse FR1
16.10.2022 Toulouse Toulouse 3-2 HT 2-1 Angers Angers FR1
25.09.2019 Toulouse Toulouse 0-2 HT 0-0 Angers Angers FR1
27.01.2019 Toulouse Toulouse 0-0 HT 0-0 Angers Angers FR1

Toulouse 0-1 Angers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Toulouse
0-1
AWAY Angers
1.98 xG 0.37
54% Ball Possession 46%
25 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 1
392 Passes 333
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
43 Box Touches 5
30 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Toulouse vs Angers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Angers edged past Toulouse 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Toulouse at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Toulouse had 54% of the ball to Angers's 46%, shots finished 25-6, expected goals 1.98 to 0.37 — the balance of chances actually favoured Toulouse.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Toulouse had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Toulouse and 0.83 for Angers.

What was the final score of Toulouse vs Angers?

Toulouse 0-1 Angers in the France - Ligue 1 on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Toulouse vs Angers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Toulouse win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Toulouse 54%, draw 26%, Angers 20%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Toulouse) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Toulouse) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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