Monaco 4-0 Rennes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 31 Jan 2026

📅31/01/2026 · 🕒23:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
33%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.51
Over 2.5
50%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.46
No
47%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
5.24
2-3 Goals
40%
1.99
4-5 Goals
22%
2.65
6+ Goals
11%
6.44
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.55
1/2
5%
30.0
1/X
6%
12.75
X/1
15%
5.07
X/2
8%
8.01
X/X
13%
6.13
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
20.45
2/2
20%
5.14
2/X
7%
13.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.45 — our 8% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
49%
-7.2pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.7pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+5.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
36%
+14.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
64%
-14.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
64%
-11.1pp
47%
BTTS No
36%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monaco EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Rennes EU Bookmakers 31%
-5% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -6%
1.81/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.49
-5% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
373 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 80%
25.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
17.4 Crosses 15.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monaco
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Rennes
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.51 xG 1.75
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
340 Passes 364
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 1
22.11.2025 Rennes Rennes 4-1 HT 1-0 Monaco Monaco FR1
25.01.2025 Monaco Monaco 3-2 HT 1-1 Rennes Rennes FR1
05.10.2024 Rennes Rennes 1-2 HT 1-2 Monaco Monaco FR1
07.04.2024 Monaco Monaco 1-0 HT 1-0 Rennes Rennes FR1
09.12.2023 Rennes Rennes 1-2 HT 0-0 Monaco Monaco FR1
27.05.2023 Rennes Rennes 2-0 HT 0-0 Monaco Monaco FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monaco
4-0
AWAY Rennes
2.21 xG 0.45
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
331 Passes 413
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
30 Box Touches 21
12 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Monaco vs Rennes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monaco ran out comfortable winners over Rennes 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Monaco as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Monaco had 46% of the ball to Rennes's 54%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 2.21 to 0.45.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monaco had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Monaco and 1.67 for Rennes.

What was the final score of Monaco vs Rennes?

Monaco 4-0 Rennes in the France - Ligue 1 on 31/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monaco vs Rennes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monaco win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Monaco 41%, draw 26%, Rennes 33%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monaco) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Monaco) ✗ BTTS Yes
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