Nashville SC 2-2 Columbus Crew — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 31 Mar 2024

📅31/03/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
39%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.75
No
56%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.16
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.7
6+ Goals
8%
15.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 30% vs market 26.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.26
1/2
5%
28.0
1/X
7%
13.3
X/1
16%
6.01
X/2
10%
5.05
X/X
12%
4.47
2/1
7%
32.0
2/2
23%
3.34
2/X
8%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+2.6pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.1pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-2.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-9.3pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nashville SC EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Columbus Crew EU Bookmakers 45%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -7%
1.05/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.52
-17% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
345 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 78%
16.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.4
19.2 Crosses 14.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nashville SC
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Columbus Crew
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.96 xG 1.37
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
334 Passes 462
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Box Touches 24
19 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
25.06.2023 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 2-0 HT 1-0 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
29.05.2023 Nashville SC Nashville SC 3-1 HT 0-1 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
03.04.2022 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 0-1 HT 0-1 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
21.10.2021 Nashville SC Nashville SC 1-1 HT 0-0 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
22.07.2021 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 0-0 HT 0-0 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
30.11.2020 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 2-0 HT 0-0 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nashville SC
2-2
AWAY Columbus Crew
1.68 xG 1.38
35% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
237 Passes 526
76% Pass Accuracy 89%
15 Box Touches 25
19 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nashville SC vs Columbus Crew
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nashville SC and Columbus Crew couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 27% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nashville SC had 35% of the ball to Columbus Crew's 65%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 1.68 to 1.38.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Nashville SC and 1.00 for Columbus Crew.

What was the final score of Nashville SC vs Columbus Crew?

Nashville SC 2-2 Columbus Crew in the USA - Major League on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nashville SC vs Columbus Crew?

Before kick-off our model rated an Columbus Crew win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Nashville SC 34%, draw 27%, Columbus Crew 38%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Columbus Crew) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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