Dragon vs Alianza Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Dragon v Alianza — Team-Based Signals
Dragon vs Alianza Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-1
Dragon
ELSAL
Alianza squeezed past Dragon 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Alianza as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Dragon and 2.33 for Alianza.
What was the final score of Dragon vs Alianza?
Dragon 1-2 Alianza in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 31/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Dragon vs Alianza?
Before kick-off our model rated an Alianza win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Dragon 20%, draw 25%, Alianza 55%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.