Alfreton Town vs Chorley Prediction — Model Probabilities
Alfreton Town v Chorley — Team-Based Signals
Alfreton Town vs Chorley Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Alfreton Town 1-0 Chorley — Actual Match Statistics
Alfreton Town nicked a narrow win over Chorley 1-0.
A gentle 42% lean on Chorley didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 48% for over 2.5, 53% on both teams scoring.
On the day, Chorley saw more of the ball, 66% to 34%, shots finished 6-11.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alfreton Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Alfreton Town against 0.83 for Chorley.
Alfreton Town vs Chorley Result & Final Score
Alfreton Town 1 - 0 Chorley in the England - Conference on 31/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Alfreton Town vs Chorley Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Chorley win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Alfreton Town 30%, draw 29%, Chorley 42%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Chorley), BTTS Yes went the other way.