Paide Linnameeskond 1-1 FC Kuressaare — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 31 May 2026

📅31/05/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.34
Draw
18%
4.62
Away
18%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.23
Over 2.5
62%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.85
No
41%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
14%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
70%
-6.0pp
18%
Draw
18%
-0.2pp
18%
Away Win
12%
+6.2pp
38%
Under 2.5
41%
-3.3pp
62%
Over 2.5
59%
+3.3pp
59%
BTTS Yes
50%
+8.7pp
41%
BTTS No
50%
-8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paide Linnameeskond EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Kuressaare EU Bookmakers 15%
-13% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +3%
2.44/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/2.43
-3% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +0%
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
457 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paide Linnameeskond
4W-2D-0L
AWAY FC Kuressaare
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
66% Ball Possession 34%
21 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
03.04.2026 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 0-1 HT 0-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
04.10.2025 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 1-1 HT 0-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
16.08.2025 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 5-1 HT 3-1 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
04.05.2025 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 1-1 HT 1-1 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
02.03.2025 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 1-2 HT 0-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
23.11.2024 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 2-1 HT 1-1 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare ESTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paide Linnameeskond
1-1
AWAY FC Kuressaare
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Paide Linnameeskond vs FC Kuressaare
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paide Linnameeskond and FC Kuressaare couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Paide Linnameeskond at 64% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, both teams to score (59%) landed while over 2.5 goals (62%) missed.

On the day, Paide Linnameeskond had 54% of the ball to FC Kuressaare's 46%, shots finished 17-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paide Linnameeskond had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Paide Linnameeskond and 0.83 for FC Kuressaare.

What was the final score of Paide Linnameeskond vs FC Kuressaare?

Paide Linnameeskond 1-1 FC Kuressaare in the Estonia - Premium League on 31/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paide Linnameeskond vs FC Kuressaare?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paide Linnameeskond win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Paide Linnameeskond 64%, draw 18%, FC Kuressaare 18%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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