Club Brugge 1-1 Union Saint-Gilloise — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Super Cup, 31 Jul 2026

📅31/07/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.0
Draw
20%
3.35
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.63
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.12
6+ Goals
10%
10.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.74
1/2
5%
33.0
1/X
6%
12.35
X/1
13%
4.91
X/2
13%
7.37
X/X
8%
4.9
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
23.5
2/2
14%
5.16
2/X
6%
13.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.5 — our 8% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
46%
+1.8pp
20%
Draw
26%
-6.2pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+4.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.9pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club Brugge EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Saint-Gilloise EU Bookmakers 31%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +55% / +55%
0.86/2.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.19/0.78
-40% / -64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +35%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
344 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 75%
26.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
20.0 Crosses 10.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 6.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club Brugge
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Union Saint-Gilloise
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.20 xG 0.99
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
386 Passes 287
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 28
18 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
17.05.2026 Club Brugge Club Brugge 5-0 HT 3-0 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
19.04.2026 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 2-1 HT 1-1 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
01.02.2026 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 1-0 HT 1-0 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
05.10.2025 Club Brugge Club Brugge 1-0 HT 0-0 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
20.07.2025 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 1-2 HT 1-2 Club Brugge Club Brugge BSK
27.04.2025 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 0-0 HT 0-0 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club Brugge
1-1
AWAY Union Saint-Gilloise
1.10 xG 1.31
16 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
556 Passes 275
31 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Club Brugge vs Union Saint-Gilloise
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Brugge and Union Saint-Gilloise couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Club Brugge at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 1.10 to 1.31.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club Brugge had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Club Brugge and 0.67 for Union Saint-Gilloise.

What was the final score of Club Brugge vs Union Saint-Gilloise?

Club Brugge 1-1 Union Saint-Gilloise in the Belgium - Super Cup on 31/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club Brugge vs Union Saint-Gilloise?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club Brugge win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Club Brugge 48%, draw 20%, Union Saint-Gilloise 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Club Brugge) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Club Brugge) ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →