Club Brugge 5-0 Union Saint-Gilloise — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 17 May 2026

📅17/05/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.96
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.86
Over 2.5
53%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.75
No
44%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.16
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
24%
3.45
6+ Goals
11%
13.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.74
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.0
X/1
17%
4.69
X/2
16%
7.25
X/X
9%
4.66
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
24.35
2/2
10%
5.4
2/X
7%
13.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.35 — our 10% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
47%
-1.4pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.6pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+5.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
50%
-3.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
50%
+3.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.2pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club Brugge EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Saint-Gilloise EU Bookmakers 30%
+2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +29% / +23%
1.54/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.34
+2% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +83%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
429 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 76%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
20.5 Crosses 11.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club Brugge
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Union Saint-Gilloise
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.01 xG 0.84
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
430 Passes 269
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
19.04.2026 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 2-1 HT 1-1 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
01.02.2026 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 1-0 HT 1-0 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
05.10.2025 Club Brugge Club Brugge 1-0 HT 0-0 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
20.07.2025 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 1-2 HT 1-2 Club Brugge Club Brugge BSK
27.04.2025 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 0-0 HT 0-0 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
24.04.2025 Club Brugge Club Brugge 0-1 HT 0-1 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club Brugge
5-0
AWAY Union Saint-Gilloise
2.12 xG 1.40
47% Ball Possession 53%
17 Total Shots 22
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 10
296 Passes 333
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
29 Box Touches 42
10 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Club Brugge vs Union Saint-Gilloise
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Brugge ran out comfortable winners over Union Saint-Gilloise 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Club Brugge as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Club Brugge had 47% of the ball to Union Saint-Gilloise's 53%, shots finished 17-22, expected goals 2.12 to 1.40.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Saint-Gilloise led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Club Brugge and 0.83 for Union Saint-Gilloise.

What was the final score of Club Brugge vs Union Saint-Gilloise?

Club Brugge 5-0 Union Saint-Gilloise in the Belgium - Pro League on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club Brugge vs Union Saint-Gilloise?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club Brugge win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Club Brugge 46%, draw 23%, Union Saint-Gilloise 32%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club Brugge), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Club Brugge) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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BEL More Belgium - Pro League
17 May 2026
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