Anderlecht 2-2 Mechelen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 17 May 2026

📅17/05/2026 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.95
Over 2.5
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.7
No
43%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.43
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
25%
3.25
6+ Goals
11%
11.75
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.25 — our 25% vs market 24.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.49
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
8%
13.1
X/1
13%
4.53
X/2
9%
8.03
X/X
12%
4.94
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
23.1
2/2
11%
6.02
2/X
7%
14.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.1 — our 12% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
50%
-2.2pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.8pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+0.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
55%
+2.3pp
43%
BTTS No
45%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Anderlecht EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Mechelen EU Bookmakers 28%
+5% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +5%
1.88/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.54
+45% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
406 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 75%
29.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
18.7 Crosses 17.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Anderlecht
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Mechelen
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.66 xG 1.54
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
359 Passes 329
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
28 Box Touches 25
19 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
18.04.2026 Mechelen Mechelen 1-2 HT 1-0 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
15.03.2026 Mechelen Mechelen 1-0 HT 0-0 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
01.11.2025 Anderlecht Anderlecht 3-1 HT 2-1 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
26.01.2025 Anderlecht Anderlecht 4-1 HT 2-0 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
17.08.2024 Mechelen Mechelen 1-3 HT 1-2 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
01.02.2024 Mechelen Mechelen 2-2 HT 0-1 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Anderlecht
2-2
AWAY Mechelen
1.01 xG 1.20
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
418 Passes 268
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
23 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Anderlecht vs Mechelen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Anderlecht and Mechelen shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Anderlecht at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Anderlecht had 59% of the ball to Mechelen's 41%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 1.01 to 1.20.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Anderlecht had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Anderlecht and 1.17 for Mechelen.

What was the final score of Anderlecht vs Mechelen?

Anderlecht 2-2 Mechelen in the Belgium - Pro League on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Anderlecht vs Mechelen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Anderlecht win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Anderlecht 48%, draw 28%, Mechelen 25%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Anderlecht) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Anderlecht) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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