Hegelmann II 0-4 Minija — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 31 Jul 2026

📅31/07/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
9%
12.23
Draw
17%
5.71
Away
74%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.27
No
51%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
11%
1/X
3%
X/1
3%
X/2
30%
X/X
11%
2/1
3%
2/2
33%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
9%
Home Win
6%
+3.6pp
17%
Draw
15%
+2.0pp
74%
Away Win
80%
-5.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
40%
+9.2pp
51%
BTTS No
60%
-9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hegelmann II EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Minija EU Bookmakers 84%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
0.92/2.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.67/0.51
+21% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +48%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
220 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 414 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hegelmann II
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Minija
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.03.2026 Minija Minija 3-0 HT 2-0 Hegelmann II LIT1
19.09.2025 Minija Minija 2-0 HT 1-0 Hegelmann II LIT1
18.05.2025 Hegelmann II 0-1 HT 0-1 Minija Minija LIT1
20.10.2024 Hegelmann II 1-0 Minija Minija LIT1
01.06.2024 Minija Minija 3-2 HT 2-0 Hegelmann II LIT1
POST-MATCH Hegelmann II vs Minija
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Minija cruised past Hegelmann II 4-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Minija as the likeliest winner at 74%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Minija led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Hegelmann II and 1.80 for Minija.

What was the final score of Hegelmann II vs Minija?

Hegelmann II 0-4 Minija in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 31/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hegelmann II vs Minija?

Before kick-off our model rated an Minija win the most likely single outcome at about 74%, with the full match-result split Hegelmann II 9%, draw 17%, Minija 74%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Minija), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Minija) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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