Lübeck 1-4 Bremer SV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.57
Draw
27%
4.08
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.38
Over 2.5
56%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
60%
-10.7pp
27%
Draw
21%
+5.4pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+5.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
38%
+6.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
62%
-6.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.8pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lübeck EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Bremer SV EU Bookmakers 22%
+6% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +18%
2.09/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.94
-3% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -5%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
371 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 4.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lübeck
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Bremer SV
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
10.12.2022 Lübeck Lübeck 4-1 HT 2-0 Bremer SV Bremer SV ALMBÖL
14.08.2022 Bremer SV Bremer SV 1-3 HT 1-1 Lübeck Lübeck ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Lübeck vs Bremer SV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bremer SV cruised past Lübeck 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Lübeck at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Lübeck had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Lübeck and 1.00 for Bremer SV.

What was the final score of Lübeck vs Bremer SV?

Lübeck 1-4 Bremer SV in the Germany - Regional League on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lübeck vs Bremer SV?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lübeck win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Lübeck 49%, draw 27%, Bremer SV 25%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lübeck) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lübeck) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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