Liverpool vs Arsenal Prediction — Model Probabilities
Liverpool v Arsenal — Team-Based Signals
Liverpool vs Arsenal Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Liverpool 1-0 Arsenal — Actual Match Statistics
Liverpool found just enough to beat Arsenal 1-0. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and on the day Liverpool made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, possession split 53% to 47% in Liverpool's favour, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 0.52 to 0.49.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.67 a game for Liverpool against 1.50 for Arsenal.
Liverpool vs Arsenal Result & Final Score
Liverpool 1-0 Arsenal in the England - Premier League on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Liverpool vs Arsenal Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Liverpool win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Liverpool 39%, draw 28%, Arsenal 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liverpool) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.