Rhode Island 1-0 Charleston Battery — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 31 Aug 2025

📅31/08/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.17
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
42%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.01
2-3 Goals
39%
1.71
4-5 Goals
20%
3.43
6+ Goals
10%
13.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.01 — our 31% vs market 25.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
28%
+7.1pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.2pp
41%
Away Win
45%
-3.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.5pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rhode Island EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Charleston Battery EU Bookmakers 49%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +16%
1.31/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.27
-44% / +104% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
291 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 77%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
13.7 Crosses 14.1
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rhode Island
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Charleston Battery
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.96 xG 1.11
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
254 Passes 378
74% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2025 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery 2-0 HT 2-0 Rhode Island Rhode Island USLP
17.11.2024 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery 1-2 HT 0-1 Rhode Island Rhode Island USLP
20.10.2024 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery 1-1 HT 0-1 Rhode Island Rhode Island USLP
07.04.2024 Rhode Island Rhode Island 0-0 HT 0-0 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rhode Island
1-0
AWAY Charleston Battery
0.80 xG 0.41
33% Ball Possession 67%
7 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
0 Corners 2
222 Passes 565
74% Pass Accuracy 88%
17 Box Touches 12
14 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rhode Island vs Charleston Battery
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rhode Island squeezed past Charleston Battery 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Charleston Battery at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Rhode Island had 33% of the ball to Charleston Battery's 67%, shots finished 7-5, expected goals 0.80 to 0.41.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Rhode Island and 1.00 for Charleston Battery.

What was the final score of Rhode Island vs Charleston Battery?

Rhode Island 1-0 Charleston Battery in the USL Championship on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rhode Island vs Charleston Battery?

Before kick-off our model rated an Charleston Battery win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Rhode Island 35%, draw 23%, Charleston Battery 41%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Charleston Battery), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Charleston Battery) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
USLP More USL Championship
31 Aug 2025
02:00 Detroit City vs San Antonio Analysis →
02:00 Indy Eleven vs Louisville City Analysis →
02:00 Loudoun United vs Miami FC Analysis →
02:30 Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds Analysis →
02:30 North Carolina vs Hartford Athletic Analysis →
04:00 New Mexico United vs Sacramento Republic Analysis →