Loudoun United 3-1 Miami FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 31 Aug 2025

📅31/08/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.72
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.43
Over 2.5
60%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.53
No
39%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.81
2-3 Goals
40%
1.89
4-5 Goals
27%
2.58
6+ Goals
11%
6.42
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
54%
+0.5pp
21%
Draw
22%
-1.5pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.0pp
40%
Under 2.5
38%
+2.5pp
60%
Over 2.5
62%
-2.5pp
61%
BTTS Yes
61%
-0.1pp
39%
BTTS No
39%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Loudoun United EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Miami FC EU Bookmakers 27%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -11%
1.49/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.37
+42% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
372 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 77%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
16.6 Crosses 14.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Loudoun United
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Miami FC
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.67 xG 1.32
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
366 Passes 274
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 4
18.05.2025 Miami FC Miami FC 2-1 HT 2-1 Loudoun United Loudoun United USLP
04.08.2024 Loudoun United Loudoun United 4-1 HT 1-1 Miami FC Miami FC USLP
23.06.2024 Miami FC Miami FC 2-2 HT 2-0 Loudoun United Loudoun United USLP
30.07.2023 Loudoun United Loudoun United 1-2 HT 1-2 Miami FC Miami FC USLP
18.06.2023 Miami FC Miami FC 1-2 HT 0-2 Loudoun United Loudoun United USLP
24.07.2022 Loudoun United Loudoun United 1-2 HT 1-1 Miami FC Miami FC USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Loudoun United
3-1
AWAY Miami FC
3.15 xG 1.19
51% Ball Possession 49%
18 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
389 Passes 360
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
34 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Loudoun United vs Miami FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Loudoun United got the better of Miami FC 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Loudoun United as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Loudoun United had 51% of the ball to Miami FC's 49%, shots finished 18-13, expected goals 3.15 to 1.19.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Miami FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Loudoun United and 1.67 for Miami FC.

What was the final score of Loudoun United vs Miami FC?

Loudoun United 3-1 Miami FC in the USL Championship on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Loudoun United vs Miami FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Loudoun United win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Loudoun United 55%, draw 21%, Miami FC 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Loudoun United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Loudoun United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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