Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds Prediction — Model Probabilities
Tampa Bay Rowdies v Pittsburgh Riverhounds — Team-Based Signals
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Tampa Bay Rowdies 2-1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds — Actual Match Statistics
Tampa Bay Rowdies nicked a narrow win over Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match split (34% / 31% / 35%) promised a tight game; Tampa Bay Rowdies found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.
Under the surface, possession split 53% to 47% in Tampa Bay Rowdies's favour, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 1.69 to 1.30.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pittsburgh Riverhounds led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Tampa Bay Rowdies against 1.33 for Pittsburgh Riverhounds.
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds Result & Final Score
Tampa Bay Rowdies 2 - 1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds in the USL Championship on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Pittsburgh Riverhounds win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Tampa Bay Rowdies 34%, draw 31%, Pittsburgh Riverhounds 35%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.