Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tampa Bay Rowdies v Pittsburgh Riverhounds — Team-Based Signals
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-1
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
USLP
1-0
HT 1-0
Tampa Bay Rowdies
USLP
2-5
HT 1-3
Tampa Bay Rowdies
USLP
Tampa Bay Rowdies 2-1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds — Actual Match Statistics
Tampa Bay Rowdies nicked a narrow win over Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match split (35% / 32% / 33%) promised a tight game; Tampa Bay Rowdies found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Tampa Bay Rowdies had 53% of the ball to Pittsburgh Riverhounds's 47%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 1.69 to 1.30.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pittsburgh Riverhounds led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Tampa Bay Rowdies and 1.33 for Pittsburgh Riverhounds.
What was the final score of Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
Tampa Bay Rowdies 2-1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds in the USL Championship on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tampa Bay Rowdies win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Tampa Bay Rowdies 35%, draw 32%, Pittsburgh Riverhounds 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tampa Bay Rowdies) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.