New Mexico United vs Sacramento Republic Prediction — Model Probabilities
New Mexico United v Sacramento Republic — Team-Based Signals
New Mexico United vs Sacramento Republic Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
New Mexico United 0-2 Sacramento Republic — Actual Match Statistics
Sacramento Republic saw off New Mexico United 2-0 on the road. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
From a near-even 39% / 30% / 31% read, it was Sacramento Republic who turned the coin-flip their way.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 46% and both teams to score at 53%.
The match data tells the story: New Mexico United had 61% of the ball to Sacramento Republic's 39%, shots finished 6-8, expected goals 0.29 to 0.60.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sacramento Republic led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for New Mexico United and 1.33 for Sacramento Republic.
New Mexico United vs Sacramento Republic Result & Final Score
New Mexico United 0 - 2 Sacramento Republic in the USL Championship on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
New Mexico United vs Sacramento Republic Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a New Mexico United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split New Mexico United 39%, draw 30%, Sacramento Republic 31%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (New Mexico United), BTTS Yes went the other way.