New Mexico United vs Sacramento Republic Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
New Mexico United v Sacramento Republic — Team-Based Signals
New Mexico United vs Sacramento Republic Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
New Mexico United
USLP
0-0
HT 0-0
New Mexico United
USLP
3-0
HT 1-0
Sacramento Republic
USLP
New Mexico United 0-2 Sacramento Republic — Actual Match Statistics
Sacramento Republic saw off New Mexico United 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 30% / 31% — and on the day Sacramento Republic made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.
On the day, New Mexico United had 61% of the ball to Sacramento Republic's 39%, shots finished 6-8, expected goals 0.29 to 0.60.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sacramento Republic led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for New Mexico United and 1.33 for Sacramento Republic.
What was the final score of New Mexico United vs Sacramento Republic?
New Mexico United 0-2 Sacramento Republic in the USL Championship on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for New Mexico United vs Sacramento Republic?
Before kick-off our model rated a New Mexico United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split New Mexico United 39%, draw 30%, Sacramento Republic 31%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (New Mexico United), BTTS Yes went the other way.