Charleston Battery 1-1 Rhode Island — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.89
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
21%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.97
Over 2.5
44%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.68
No
54%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.69
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
21%
3.28
6+ Goals
11%
11.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.69 — our 30% vs market 21.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
5%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
49%
+5.7pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.8pp
21%
Away Win
26%
-4.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
47%
+9.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
53%
-9.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.8pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Charleston Battery EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Rhode Island EU Bookmakers 29%
+3% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.44/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.23
+12% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
304 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 80%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
18.4 Crosses 17.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Charleston Battery
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Rhode Island
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.60 xG 0.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 1
324 Passes 234
77% Pass Accuracy 71%
14 Box Touches 10
18 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 5
07.04.2024 Rhode Island Rhode Island 0-0 HT 0-0 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Charleston Battery
1-1
AWAY Rhode Island
1.60 xG 1.57
61% Ball Possession 39%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 2
425 Passes 244
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 17
12 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Charleston Battery vs Rhode Island
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charleston Battery and Rhode Island shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Charleston Battery carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Charleston Battery had 61% of the ball to Rhode Island's 39%, shots finished 9-8, expected goals 1.60 to 1.57.

What was the final score of Charleston Battery vs Rhode Island?

Charleston Battery 1-1 Rhode Island in the USL Championship on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Charleston Battery vs Rhode Island?

Before kick-off our model rated a Charleston Battery win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Charleston Battery 55%, draw 24%, Rhode Island 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Charleston Battery), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Charleston Battery) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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