Etoile Carouge 2-0 Bellinzona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 31 Oct 2025

📅31/10/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.0
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.75
Over 2.5
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.79
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
3.79
6+ Goals
8%
17.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
3%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
21%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+0.8pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.4pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+3.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
53%
-1.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
47%
+1.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.6pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Etoile Carouge EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Bellinzona EU Bookmakers 30%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +6%
1.72/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.48
+42% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
267 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 72%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
11.3 Crosses 14.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Etoile Carouge
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Bellinzona
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.78 xG 0.89
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
425 Passes 314
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 17
9 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.10.2025 Bellinzona Bellinzona 0-3 HT 0-2 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge İSV2
05.04.2025 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge 7-0 HT 2-0 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
22.02.2025 Bellinzona Bellinzona 0-0 HT 0-0 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge İSV2
22.11.2024 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge 2-2 HT 1-1 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
03.08.2024 Bellinzona Bellinzona 1-1 HT 1-0 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge İSV2
06.03.2022 Bellinzona Bellinzona 4-1 HT 1-0 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge İSV1Y
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Etoile Carouge
2-0
AWAY Bellinzona
1.77 xG 0.47
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
364 Passes 292
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 14
13 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Etoile Carouge vs Bellinzona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Etoile Carouge got the better of Bellinzona 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Etoile Carouge as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Etoile Carouge had 55% of the ball to Bellinzona's 45%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 1.77 to 0.47.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Etoile Carouge had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Etoile Carouge and 1.17 for Bellinzona.

What was the final score of Etoile Carouge vs Bellinzona?

Etoile Carouge 2-0 Bellinzona in the Switzerland Challenge League on 31/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Etoile Carouge vs Bellinzona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Etoile Carouge win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Etoile Carouge 47%, draw 23%, Bellinzona 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Etoile Carouge), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Etoile Carouge) ✓ Under 2.5
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