Novi Pazar 2-2 Spartak Subotica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 1 Feb 2026

📅01/02/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
18%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.68
Over 2.5
38%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.99
No
58%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
54%
+2.0pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
18%
Away Win
20%
-2.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.9pp
38%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
46%
-4.6pp
58%
BTTS No
54%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Novi Pazar EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartak Subotica EU Bookmakers 23%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +7%
1.39/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.59
-7% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
361 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 75%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
19.4 Crosses 16.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Novi Pazar
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Spartak Subotica
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.39 xG 1.04
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
387 Passes 294
77% Pass Accuracy 75%
24 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
24.08.2025 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 1-1 HT 0-1 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
10.07.2025 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 2-1 HT 0-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar HAZ
23.11.2024 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 1-1 HT 0-1 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
21.07.2024 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 3-2 HT 2-0 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
13.05.2024 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 0-1 HT 0-0 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
08.03.2024 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 0-1 HT 0-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Novi Pazar
2-2
AWAY Spartak Subotica
66% Ball Possession 34%
12 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Novi Pazar vs Spartak Subotica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Novi Pazar and Spartak Subotica shared the points in a 2-2 draw.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Novi Pazar at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Novi Pazar had 66% of the ball to Spartak Subotica's 34%, shots finished 12-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Novi Pazar and 1.17 for Spartak Subotica.

What was the final score of Novi Pazar vs Spartak Subotica?

Novi Pazar 2-2 Spartak Subotica in the Serbia - Super League on 01/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Novi Pazar vs Spartak Subotica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Novi Pazar win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Novi Pazar 56%, draw 27%, Spartak Subotica 18%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Novi Pazar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SIRP More Serbia - Super League
1 Feb 2026
15:00 Mladost Lucani vs OFK Beograd Analysis →
17:00 Cukaricki Stankom vs Kızılyıldız Analysis →
17:00 Backa Topola vs Vojvodina Analysis →