Maribor 3-3 Celje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 1 Feb 2026

📅01/02/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.99
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.9
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
25%
2.98
6+ Goals
12%
9.34
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
27%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
30%
+3.7pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.7pp
43%
Away Win
44%
-1.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.0pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maribor EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Celje EU Bookmakers 48%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.22/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/0.80
+1% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +38%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
324 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 410 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maribor
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Celje
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.09.2025 Celje Celje 3-0 HT 1-0 Maribor Maribor SLVN
20.07.2025 Maribor Maribor 1-2 HT 1-0 Celje Celje SLVN
07.05.2025 Maribor Maribor 1-1 HT 1-1 Celje Celje SLVN
02.04.2025 Maribor Maribor 0-1 HT 0-0 Celje Celje SLVNK
08.02.2025 Celje Celje 1-2 HT 0-1 Maribor Maribor SLVN
06.10.2024 Maribor Maribor 1-2 HT 1-0 Celje Celje SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maribor
3-3
AWAY Celje
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Maribor vs Celje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maribor and Celje shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Celje at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Maribor had 60% of the ball to Celje's 40%, shots finished 13-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celje led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Maribor and 1.67 for Celje.

What was the final score of Maribor vs Celje?

Maribor 3-3 Celje in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 01/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maribor vs Celje?

Before kick-off our model rated an Celje win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Maribor 34%, draw 23%, Celje 43%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Celje) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Celje) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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