Deportivo La Guaira 2-0 Monagas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 1 Feb 2026

📅01/02/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.76
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
21%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
53%
-2.2pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.1pp
22%
Away Win
22%
+0.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.8pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo La Guaira EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Monagas EU Bookmakers 25%
+2% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -2%
1.81/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.59
+21% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
324 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 77%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
20.3 Crosses 16.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo La Guaira
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Monagas
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.44 xG 0.98
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
336 Passes 275
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.11.2025 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 2-1 HT 0-1 Monagas Monagas VEN
26.10.2025 Monagas Monagas 0-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
08.07.2025 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 2-0 HT 2-0 Monagas Monagas VEN
25.01.2025 Monagas Monagas 1-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
18.11.2024 Monagas Monagas 0-2 HT 0-1 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
25.07.2024 Monagas Monagas 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo La Guaira
2-0
AWAY Monagas
0.53 xG 0.63
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 0
338 Passes 323
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
11 Box Touches 10
19 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Deportivo La Guaira vs Monagas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo La Guaira saw off Monagas 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Deportivo La Guaira as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Deportivo La Guaira had 51% of the ball to Monagas's 49%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 0.53 to 0.63.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo La Guaira had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Deportivo La Guaira and 0.33 for Monagas.

What was the final score of Deportivo La Guaira vs Monagas?

Deportivo La Guaira 2-0 Monagas in the Venezuela - Premier League on 01/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo La Guaira vs Monagas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo La Guaira win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Deportivo La Guaira 51%, draw 28%, Monagas 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira) ✗ BTTS Yes
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