Deportivo La Guaira vs Monagas Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Deportivo La Guaira v Monagas — Team-Based Signals
Deportivo La Guaira vs Monagas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Deportivo La Guaira 2-1 Monagas — Actual Match Statistics
Deportivo La Guaira edged past Monagas 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Deportivo La Guaira as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Deportivo La Guaira had 60% of the ball to Monagas's 40%, shots finished 18-6, expected goals 2.43 to 0.73 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Deportivo La Guaira's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo La Guaira had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Deportivo La Guaira and 0.33 for Monagas.
What was the final score of Deportivo La Guaira vs Monagas?
Deportivo La Guaira 2-1 Monagas in the Venezuela - Premier League on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Deportivo La Guaira vs Monagas?
Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo La Guaira win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Deportivo La Guaira 59%, draw 20%, Monagas 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.