Dinamo Moscow 4-0 Krylya Sovetov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 1 Mar 2026

📅01/03/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.45
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
18%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.33
2-3 Goals
40%
1.86
4-5 Goals
24%
2.8
6+ Goals
11%
8.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.74
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
6%
16.8
X/1
18%
3.93
X/2
7%
12.85
X/X
8%
6.77
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
20.15
2/2
7%
10.2
2/X
8%
19.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.15 — our 10% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
64%
-3.9pp
22%
Draw
20%
+1.9pp
18%
Away Win
16%
+2.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.7pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Moscow EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Krylya Sovetov EU Bookmakers 19%
-5% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -7%
1.86/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.73
+8% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -3%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
392 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 74%
28.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
20.4 Crosses 14.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Moscow
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Krylya Sovetov
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.52 xG 0.94
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
292 Passes 362
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
28 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 1
22.10.2025 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 4-0 HT 1-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUK
26.09.2025 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 2-3 HT 0-3 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
27.08.2025 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 0-0 HT 0-0 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUK
05.05.2025 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 1-3 HT 1-1 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
24.10.2024 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 3-6 HT 2-3 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUK
28.08.2024 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 5-1 HT 3-1 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Moscow
4-0
AWAY Krylya Sovetov
2.92 xG 0.72
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 5
358 Passes 310
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 8
19 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dinamo Moscow vs Krylya Sovetov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Moscow cruised past Krylya Sovetov 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Dinamo Moscow as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Dinamo Moscow had 52% of the ball to Krylya Sovetov's 48%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 2.92 to 0.72.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Moscow had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Dinamo Moscow and 1.17 for Krylya Sovetov.

What was the final score of Dinamo Moscow vs Krylya Sovetov?

Dinamo Moscow 4-0 Krylya Sovetov in the Russia - Premier League on 01/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Moscow vs Krylya Sovetov?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dinamo Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Moscow 61%, draw 22%, Krylya Sovetov 18%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dinamo Moscow), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dinamo Moscow) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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