FC Akhmat Grozny vs CSKA Moskova Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
FC Akhmat Grozny v CSKA Moskova — Team-Based Signals
FC Akhmat Grozny vs CSKA Moskova Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
FC Akhmat Grozny 1-0 CSKA Moskova — Actual Match Statistics
FC Akhmat Grozny squeezed past CSKA Moskova 1-0.
Our pre-match split (35% / 26% / 40%) promised a tight game; FC Akhmat Grozny found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, FC Akhmat Grozny had 34% of the ball to CSKA Moskova's 66%, shots finished 17-21, expected goals 1.44 to 1.52.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CSKA Moskova led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for FC Akhmat Grozny and 1.67 for CSKA Moskova.
What was the final score of FC Akhmat Grozny vs CSKA Moskova?
FC Akhmat Grozny 1-0 CSKA Moskova in the Russia - Premier League on 01/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FC Akhmat Grozny vs CSKA Moskova?
Before kick-off our model rated an CSKA Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split FC Akhmat Grozny 35%, draw 26%, CSKA Moskova 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (CSKA Moskova) went the other way.