Panathinaikos 3-1 Aris Saloniki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 1 Mar 2026

📅01/03/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.79
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
17%
4.55
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
63%
1.55
Over
37%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.27
No
58%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1
37%
2.14
2-3
46%
1.73
4-5
15%
5.1
6+
2%
32.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
2.41
1/2
1%
34.0
1/X
5%
15.3
X/1
20%
3.99
X/2
7%
8.98
X/X
20%
3.78
2/1
2%
31.0
2/2
9%
8.25
2/X
5%
17.15
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Panathinaikos The Market 56%
Signal
AWAY Aris Saloniki The Market 22%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.56 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.83
0.77 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.30
Average Attack Strength Weak
Strong Defense Strength Strong
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
332 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 79%
23 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14
20 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panathinaikos
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Aris Saloniki
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.01 xG 0.96
57% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
435 Passes 293
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
28 Box Touches 21
21 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.01.2026 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 3-0 HT 1-0 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUK
19.10.2025 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 1-1 HT 0-1 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
09.02.2025 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 2-0 HT 1-0 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
27.10.2024 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 1-1 HT 1-0 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
25.05.2024 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 1-0 HT 0-0 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUK
28.04.2024 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 0-1 HT 0-1 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Panathinaikos
3 - 1
AWAY Aris Saloniki
2.36 xG 0.80
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 5
268 Passes 398
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
11 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Panathinaikos vs Aris Saloniki
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Panathinaikos saw off Aris Saloniki 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Panathinaikos as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

By the numbers, Aris Saloniki saw more of the ball, 58% to 42%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 2.36 to 0.80.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Panathinaikos against 0.83 for Aris Saloniki.

Panathinaikos vs Aris Saloniki Result & Final Score

Panathinaikos 3 - 1 Aris Saloniki in the Greece - Super League on 01/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Panathinaikos vs Aris Saloniki Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Panathinaikos win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Panathinaikos 53%, draw 30%, Aris Saloniki 17%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Panathinaikos) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Panathinaikos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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