Panathinaikos 3-0 Aris Saloniki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Cup, 14 Jan 2026

📅14/01/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.76
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.6
Over 2.5
37%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-6.4pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.4pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+4.0pp
63%
Under 2.5
59%
+4.5pp
37%
Over 2.5
41%
-4.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.4pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panathinaikos EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Aris Saloniki EU Bookmakers 23%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
1.06/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.17/1.17
-37% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -82% / +14%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
381 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panathinaikos
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Aris Saloniki
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.96 xG 1.16
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
412 Passes 289
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
27 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
19.10.2025 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 1-1 HT 0-1 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
09.02.2025 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 2-0 HT 1-0 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
27.10.2024 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 1-1 HT 1-0 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
25.05.2024 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 1-0 HT 0-0 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUK
28.04.2024 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 0-1 HT 0-1 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
07.04.2024 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 0-2 HT 0-0 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Panathinaikos
3-0
AWAY Aris Saloniki
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Panathinaikos vs Aris Saloniki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panathinaikos cruised past Aris Saloniki 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Panathinaikos as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (63%) missed.

On the day, Panathinaikos had 53% of the ball to Aris Saloniki's 47%, shots finished 15-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Panathinaikos and 0.83 for Aris Saloniki.

What was the final score of Panathinaikos vs Aris Saloniki?

Panathinaikos 3-0 Aris Saloniki in the Greece - Cup on 14/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panathinaikos vs Aris Saloniki?

Before kick-off our model rated a Panathinaikos win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Panathinaikos 46%, draw 30%, Aris Saloniki 24%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Panathinaikos), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Panathinaikos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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