AEK Atina 0-1 OFI — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Cup, 14 Jan 2026

📅14/01/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
75%
1.3
Draw
14%
4.81
Away
11%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.18
Over 2.5
57%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
5%
X/X
5%
2/1
9%
2/2
3%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
75%
Home Win
72%
+3.1pp
14%
Draw
17%
-3.3pp
11%
Away Win
10%
+0.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
42%
+1.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
58%
-1.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.7pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AEK Atina EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY OFI EU Bookmakers 14%
+8% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
2.17/0.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.20/1.82
-24% / +100% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -61% / +45%
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
388 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 221 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 4.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AEK Atina
6W-0D-0L
AWAY OFI
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
2.10 xG 0.50
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 2
441 Passes 206
86% Pass Accuracy 73%
39 Box Touches 11
24 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 3
21.12.2025 AEK Atina AEK Atina 2-1 HT 0-1 OFI OFI YUN
03.12.2025 AEK Atina AEK Atina 2-0 HT 1-0 OFI OFI YUK
09.11.2025 OFI OFI 0-1 HT 0-0 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
08.12.2024 OFI OFI 1-2 HT 1-1 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
18.08.2024 AEK Atina AEK Atina 3-0 HT 2-0 OFI OFI YUN
28.01.2024 AEK Atina AEK Atina 3-0 HT 1-0 OFI OFI YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AEK Atina
0-1
AWAY OFI
54% Ball Possession 46%
22 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH AEK Atina vs OFI
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

OFI edged past AEK Atina 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. AEK Atina carried 75% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AEK Atina had 54% of the ball to OFI's 46%, shots finished 22-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AEK Atina had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for AEK Atina and 0.33 for OFI.

What was the final score of AEK Atina vs OFI?

AEK Atina 0-1 OFI in the Greece - Cup on 14/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AEK Atina vs OFI?

Before kick-off our model rated a AEK Atina win the most likely single outcome at about 75%, with the full match-result split AEK Atina 75%, draw 14%, OFI 11%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (AEK Atina), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AEK Atina) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
YUK More Greece - Cup
14 Jan 2026
16:00 Levadiakos vs Kifisia Analysis →
19:30 Olympiakos vs PAOK Analysis →
21:30 Panathinaikos vs Aris Saloniki Analysis →