Eastleigh 2-3 Maidenhead United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 1 Apr 2024

Eastleigh
2-3 HT 2-0
Maidenhead United
📅01/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - National League – 2023/2024

Eastleigh vs Maidenhead United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.46
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.18
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.69
6+ Goals
10%
15.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.18 — our 27% vs market 25.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.71
1/2
9%
29.5
1/X
7%
13.0
X/1
14%
5.48
X/2
10%
5.57
X/X
15%
4.44
2/1
6%
29.0
2/2
17%
3.8
2/X
10%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
37%
-4.8pp
32%
Draw
27%
+5.1pp
36%
Away Win
36%
-0.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.1pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Eastleigh v Maidenhead United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eastleigh EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Maidenhead United EU Bookmakers 39%
+9% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -15%
1.52/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.82
+10% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -25%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
315 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2

Eastleigh vs Maidenhead United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eastleigh
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Maidenhead United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
28.10.2023 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 3-2 HT 2-0 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
18.02.2023 Eastleigh Eastleigh 1-0 HT 1-0 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
19.11.2022 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 2-1 HT 1-1 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
05.02.2022 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 2-2 HT 1-0 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
30.10.2021 Eastleigh Eastleigh 1-0 HT 1-0 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
05.04.2021 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 0-1 HT 0-0 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL

Eastleigh 2-3 Maidenhead United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eastleigh
2-3
AWAY Maidenhead United
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Eastleigh vs Maidenhead United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maidenhead United edged past Eastleigh 3-2 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 32% / 36% — and on the day Maidenhead United made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Eastleigh had 50% of the ball to Maidenhead United's 50%, shots finished 8-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Eastleigh had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Eastleigh and 1.17 for Maidenhead United.

What was the final score of Eastleigh vs Maidenhead United?

Eastleigh 2-3 Maidenhead United in the England - National League on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eastleigh vs Maidenhead United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Maidenhead United win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Eastleigh 32%, draw 32%, Maidenhead United 36%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maidenhead United), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Maidenhead United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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