Como 2-0 Südtirol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 1 Apr 2024

📅01/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.72
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
27%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.52
Over 2.5
46%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.29
No
53%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.32
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
5.24
6+ Goals
7%
32.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.21
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
16.35
X/1
23%
3.67
X/2
12%
10.55
X/X
12%
3.89
2/1
7%
31.5
2/2
10%
9.69
2/X
7%
17.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
55%
-5.5pp
24%
Draw
28%
-4.4pp
27%
Away Win
17%
+9.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
62%
-8.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
38%
+8.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
40%
+7.2pp
53%
BTTS No
60%
-7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Como EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Südtirol EU Bookmakers 20%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +8%
1.53/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.27
-9% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +36%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
352 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 70%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
20.6 Crosses 15.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Como
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Südtirol
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
1.02 xG 1.44
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
404 Passes 253
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
03.12.2023 Südtirol Südtirol 0-1 HT 0-0 Como Como İTB
11.02.2023 Südtirol Südtirol 1-1 HT 0-0 Como Como İTB
10.09.2022 Como Como 0-2 HT 0-0 Südtirol Südtirol İTB
11.01.2015 Südtirol Südtirol 2-0 HT 1-0 Como Como İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Como
2-0
AWAY Südtirol
1.02 xG 0.79
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
326 Passes 350
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 12
22 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Como vs Südtirol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Como got the better of Südtirol 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Como as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Como had 49% of the ball to Südtirol's 51%, shots finished 13-6, expected goals 1.02 to 0.79.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Südtirol led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Como and 1.25 for Südtirol.

What was the final score of Como vs Südtirol?

Como 2-0 Südtirol in the Italy - Serie B on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Como vs Südtirol?

Before kick-off our model rated a Como win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Como 50%, draw 24%, Südtirol 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Como), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Como) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTB More Italy - Serie B
1 Apr 2024
13:30 Modena vs FC Bari 1908 Analysis →
16:00 Lecco vs Cittadella Analysis →
16:00 Spezia vs Ascoli Analysis →
16:00 Pisa vs Palermo Analysis →
16:00 Venezia vs Reggiana Analysis →
16:00 Cosenza Calcio vs Brescia Analysis →