Cittadella vs Brescia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cittadella v Brescia — Team-Based Signals
Cittadella vs Brescia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Cittadella 0-1 Brescia — Actual Match Statistics
Brescia nicked a narrow win over Cittadella 1-0 away from home.
We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 30% / 34% — and on the day Brescia made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Cittadella had 57% of the ball to Brescia's 43%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 0.79 to 0.44.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cittadella had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cittadella and 0.83 for Brescia.
What was the final score of Cittadella vs Brescia?
Cittadella 0-1 Brescia in the Italy - Serie B on 01/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cittadella vs Brescia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cittadella win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Cittadella 36%, draw 30%, Brescia 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Cittadella) went the other way.