Cosenza Calcio 1-0 FC Bari 1908 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 1 May 2025

📅01/05/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.29
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
1.74
Over
41%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.82
No
56%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2.86
2-3
41%
1.77
4-5
20%
3.92
6+
8%
17.8
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.86 — our 31% vs market 28.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.56
1/2
8%
27.5
1/X
11%
14.1
X/1
12%
7.24
X/2
17%
4.8
X/X
9%
4.35
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
18%
2.93
2/X
7%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
30%
Home Win
27%
+3.4pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.6pp
42%
Away Win
45%
-2.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
54%
+5.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
46%
-5.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.7pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cosenza Calcio The Market 30%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Bari 1908 The Market 49%
+2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -2%
1.19/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.34
-3% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -47%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
264 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 78%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
21.5 Crosses 6.2
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cosenza Calcio
1W-2D-3L
AWAY FC Bari 1908
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.13 xG 1.29
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
253 Passes 360
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
28.09.2024 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 1-1 HT 1-0 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTB
27.04.2024 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio 4-1 HT 2-1 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
23.12.2023 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 0-0 HT 0-0 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTB
12.02.2023 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 2-1 HT 1-1 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTB
10.09.2022 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio 0-1 HT 0-1 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
09.03.2003 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 1-0 HT 1-0 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cosenza Calcio
1-0
AWAY FC Bari 1908
1.65 xG 1.06
36% Ball Possession 64%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
200 Passes 363
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
27 Box Touches 19
13 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cosenza Calcio vs FC Bari 1908
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cosenza Calcio edged past FC Bari 1908 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was FC Bari 1908 at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Cosenza Calcio had 36% of the ball to FC Bari 1908's 64%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 1.65 to 1.06.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Bari 1908 led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cosenza Calcio and 1.00 for FC Bari 1908.

What was the final score of Cosenza Calcio vs FC Bari 1908?

Cosenza Calcio 1-0 FC Bari 1908 in the Italy - Serie B on 01/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cosenza Calcio vs FC Bari 1908?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Bari 1908 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Cosenza Calcio 30%, draw 27%, FC Bari 1908 42%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (FC Bari 1908) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Bari 1908) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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