Drogheda United 1-0 Sligo Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 1 May 2026

📅01/05/2026 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.75
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
23%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.86
Over 2.5
53%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.82
No
46%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.05
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
3.42
6+ Goals
14%
13.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
2.28
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
6%
14.0
X/1
16%
4.22
X/2
8%
8.89
X/X
10%
4.86
2/1
6%
23.95
2/2
9%
7.16
2/X
6%
15.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
53%
+2.4pp
21%
Draw
25%
-3.8pp
23%
Away Win
22%
+1.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
50%
-2.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
50%
+2.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.4pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Drogheda United EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Sligo Rovers EU Bookmakers 25%
+3% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.39/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.49
-27% / +75% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
246 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 71%
27.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
23.2 Crosses 18.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Drogheda United
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Sligo Rovers
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.54 xG 1.12
39% Ball Possession 61%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
144 Passes 304
55% Pass Accuracy 72%
23 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.03.2026 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 2-1 HT 1-0 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
19.09.2025 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 1-1 HT 1-0 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
20.06.2025 Drogheda United Drogheda United 1-0 HT 1-0 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
02.05.2025 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 2-2 HT 0-1 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
21.02.2025 Drogheda United Drogheda United 3-0 HT 1-0 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
23.08.2024 Drogheda United Drogheda United 7-0 HT 3-0 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Drogheda United
1-0
AWAY Sligo Rovers
2.46 xG 0.68
32% Ball Possession 68%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 7
114 Passes 367
47% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 39
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Drogheda United vs Sligo Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Drogheda United edged past Sligo Rovers 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Drogheda United as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Drogheda United had 32% of the ball to Sligo Rovers's 68%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 2.46 to 0.68 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Drogheda United's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Drogheda United had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Drogheda United and 0.83 for Sligo Rovers.

What was the final score of Drogheda United vs Sligo Rovers?

Drogheda United 1-0 Sligo Rovers in the Ireland - Premier League on 01/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Drogheda United vs Sligo Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Drogheda United win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Drogheda United 56%, draw 21%, Sligo Rovers 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Drogheda United) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Drogheda United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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