Shamrock Rovers 1-0 Waterford FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 1 May 2026

📅01/05/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
74%
1.28
Draw
14%
5.15
Away
12%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.29
Over 2.5
56%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.35
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
29%
2.71
6+ Goals
11%
7.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
49%
1.43
1/2
3%
34.0
1/X
4%
22.65
X/1
17%
3.69
X/2
4%
20.7
X/X
5%
8.09
2/1
8%
22.65
2/2
6%
18.4
2/X
4%
27.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
74%
Home Win
74%
-0.1pp
14%
Draw
16%
-2.7pp
12%
Away Win
10%
+2.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.1pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shamrock Rovers EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Waterford FC EU Bookmakers 12%
-3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +9%
1.65/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.96
+0% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -12%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
460 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 208 · 70%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.1
22.1 Crosses 12.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shamrock Rovers
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Waterford FC
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.93 xG 0.56
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
436 Passes 293
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
26 Box Touches 13
21 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.04.2026 Waterford FC Waterford FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
22.09.2025 Waterford FC Waterford FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
27.06.2025 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 1-0 HT 0-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
16.05.2025 Waterford FC Waterford FC 1-3 HT 1-1 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
11.04.2025 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 2-0 HT 1-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
01.11.2024 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 2-1 HT 1-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shamrock Rovers
1-0
AWAY Waterford FC
1.74 xG 0.29
66% Ball Possession 34%
22 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
480 Passes 198
84% Pass Accuracy 69%
40 Box Touches 11
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Shamrock Rovers vs Waterford FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shamrock Rovers squeezed past Waterford FC 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Shamrock Rovers as the likeliest winner at 74%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Shamrock Rovers had 66% of the ball to Waterford FC's 34%, shots finished 22-8, expected goals 1.74 to 0.29 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Shamrock Rovers's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shamrock Rovers had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Shamrock Rovers and 0.67 for Waterford FC.

What was the final score of Shamrock Rovers vs Waterford FC?

Shamrock Rovers 1-0 Waterford FC in the Ireland - Premier League on 01/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shamrock Rovers vs Waterford FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shamrock Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 74%, with the full match-result split Shamrock Rovers 74%, draw 14%, Waterford FC 12%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shamrock Rovers), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shamrock Rovers) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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