Dundalk 1-2 Shelbourne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 1 May 2026

📅01/05/2026 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.38
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.91
Over 2.5
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.21
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
23%
3.29
6+ Goals
10%
12.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.64
1/2
5%
28.0
1/X
6%
13.1
X/1
16%
5.56
X/2
15%
5.67
X/X
12%
4.74
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
27.5
2/2
17%
3.76
2/X
6%
13.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 27.5 — our 9% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
38%
+1.6pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.5pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.4pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dundalk EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Shelbourne EU Bookmakers 39%
-3% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +6%
1.13/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/0.93
+0% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +32%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
316 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 75%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
22.3 Crosses 16.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundalk
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Shelbourne
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.72 xG 0.98
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
264 Passes 354
71% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 21
22 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
03.04.2026 Shelbourne Shelbourne 2-3 HT 0-2 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
30.08.2024 Dundalk Dundalk 0-1 HT 0-1 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
07.06.2024 Shelbourne Shelbourne 1-0 HT 0-0 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
03.05.2024 Dundalk Dundalk 0-0 HT 0-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
29.03.2024 Shelbourne Shelbourne 2-1 HT 0-0 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
06.10.2023 Shelbourne Shelbourne 1-0 HT 1-0 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dundalk
1-2
AWAY Shelbourne
1.91 xG 1.68
66% Ball Possession 34%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
378 Passes 147
74% Pass Accuracy 54%
25 Box Touches 23
28 Crosses 9
4 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Dundalk vs Shelbourne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shelbourne squeezed past Dundalk 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 24% / 36%) promised a tight game; Shelbourne found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Dundalk had 66% of the ball to Shelbourne's 34%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 1.91 to 1.68.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shelbourne led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Dundalk and 1.17 for Shelbourne.

What was the final score of Dundalk vs Shelbourne?

Dundalk 1-2 Shelbourne in the Ireland - Premier League on 01/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dundalk vs Shelbourne?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dundalk win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Dundalk 40%, draw 24%, Shelbourne 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dundalk) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dundalk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İRL More Ireland - Premier League
1 May 2026
21:45 Drogheda United vs Sligo Rovers Analysis →
21:45 Galway United vs St Patricks Analysis →
22:00 Bohemians vs Derry City Analysis →
22:00 Shamrock Rovers vs Waterford FC Analysis →