Galway United 2-2 St Patricks — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 1 May 2026

📅01/05/2026 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.32
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
47%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.16
2-3 Goals
38%
1.73
4-5 Goals
24%
3.33
6+ Goals
10%
12.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
5.58
1/2 EV+ ✗
12%
23.95
1/X
6%
14.0
X/1
7%
7.47
X/2
16%
4.62
X/X
10%
4.75
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
20%
2.66
2/X
8%
13.1
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.95 — our 12% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
27%
+2.3pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.8pp
47%
Away Win
47%
+0.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+0.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-0.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.8pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Galway United EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY St Patricks EU Bookmakers 51%
+1% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +14%
1.23/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/0.79
+12% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +21%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
190 · 62% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 73%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.9
17.9 Crosses 22.8
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Galway United
2W-1D-3L
AWAY St Patricks
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.39 xG 1.23
37% Ball Possession 63%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 8
176 Passes 374
67% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 27
19 Crosses 29
4 Yellow Cards 3
02.03.2026 St Patricks St Patricks 1-0 HT 0-0 Galway United Galway United İRL
19.09.2025 St Patricks St Patricks 1-1 HT 0-0 Galway United Galway United İRL
14.09.2025 St Patricks St Patricks 3-1 HT 0-0 Galway United Galway United İRK
20.06.2025 Galway United Galway United 3-1 HT 3-1 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
02.05.2025 St Patricks St Patricks 2-0 HT 2-0 Galway United Galway United İRL
21.02.2025 Galway United Galway United 2-1 HT 2-1 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Galway United
2-2
AWAY St Patricks
0.31 xG 0.90
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
275 Passes 274
68% Pass Accuracy 67%
23 Box Touches 12
21 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Galway United vs St Patricks
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Galway United and St Patricks shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was St Patricks at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Galway United had 50% of the ball to St Patricks's 50%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 0.31 to 0.90.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St Patricks led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Galway United and 1.50 for St Patricks.

What was the final score of Galway United vs St Patricks?

Galway United 2-2 St Patricks in the Ireland - Premier League on 01/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Galway United vs St Patricks?

Before kick-off our model rated an St Patricks win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Galway United 29%, draw 24%, St Patricks 47%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (St Patricks) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (St Patricks) ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İRL More Ireland - Premier League
1 May 2026
21:45 Drogheda United vs Sligo Rovers Analysis →
21:45 Dundalk vs Shelbourne Analysis →
22:00 Bohemians vs Derry City Analysis →
22:00 Shamrock Rovers vs Waterford FC Analysis →