Bohemians vs Derry City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bohemians v Derry City — Team-Based Signals
Bohemians vs Derry City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Bohemians 1-1 Derry City — Actual Match Statistics
Bohemians and Derry City shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Bohemians at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
On the day, Bohemians had 57% of the ball to Derry City's 43%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 0.60 to 0.51.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Bohemians and 1.17 for Derry City.
What was the final score of Bohemians vs Derry City?
Bohemians 1-1 Derry City in the Ireland - Premier League on 01/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bohemians vs Derry City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bohemians win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Bohemians 50%, draw 23%, Derry City 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bohemians), BTTS No went the other way.